Thursday, November 28, 2013

NFL Week 13 Picks: Seattle Seahawks To Win Marquee Monday Night Game

Green Bay (5-5-1) at Detroit (6-5)

The Lions haven't won on Thanksgiving in nine years. That's a scary fact for a team that gets a home game on this day. They should own it.

The Packers also bested the Lions earlier this season.

It's time to turn those fortunes around though.

Detroit is 3-2 at home and the Lions defensive line has played very well this season. They should be able to get after Matt Flynn (Green Bay's fourth QB this season) and cause some havoc.

Detroit wins.

Oakland (4-7) at Dallas (6-5)

The Cowboys have been inconsistent this season, but they do have two wins in their past three games, including a big win for momentum at Met Life against the rival Giants last week.

The Raiders have lost three of their last four and are 1-4 on the road this season.

The Cowboys are 21-15-1 on Thanksgiving.

Dallas wins.

Pittsburgh (5-6) at Baltimore (5-6)

The Ravens have won two of their past three, both wins coming at home.

Neither team has been impressive nor consistent are this season and both are coming off wins.

At home, the Ravens should have the edge.

Baltimore wins.

Tennessee (5-6) at Indianapolis (7-4)

The Colts have alternated wins the past four weeks, losing two of their previous three.

They are 3-0 against the rest of the AFC South, however, and defeated the Titans on the road just two weeks ago.

The Colts running game has struggled mightily in recent weeks, which has affected the team's record. Tennessee has one of the worst rushing defenses in the league however and should be a good place for the Colts backfield to get on track.

Indianapolis wins.

Jacksonville (2-9) at Cleveland (4-7)

The Jaguars have enjoyed two wins on the road in the past three weeks. Can they string together consecutive victories?

The Browns are 3-3 at home this season. While the offense has been out of sync lately, the defense has played well this year and the secondary should fare well against Jacksonville's passing game.

Cleveland wins.

Tampa Bay (3-8) at Carolina (8-3)

The Buccaneers are surprising winners of three games in a row but they run into the hottest team in all of football, and on the road no less.

The Panthers are winners of seven games in a row, and they also have a four-game home winning streak. In their seven-game win streak, Carolina already bested Tampa Bay on the road by 18 points. It should be a similar result this time around.

Carolina wins.

Chicago (6-5) at Minnesota (2-8-1)

While Chicago has struggled in the past three weeks as well as on the road this season, the Vikings have struggled this season and still have a home record under .500.

The Bears need a win to stay in the NFC North lead and they should take advantage of a weak Vikings squad.

Chicago wins.

New England (8-3) at Houston (2-9)

The Patriots definitely were the benefactors of some luck when they beat the Broncos last week, yes. But they did have to do some work to put themselves in a position to be able to benefit from it. Down 24-0, they clawed their way back when most counted them out.

The Texans, meanwhile, failed to score a single touchdown at home against the Jaguars of all teams. Houston isn't showing the ability to win games like New England is.

New England wins.

Arizona (7-4) at Philadelphia (6-5)

Both teams are on a role in recent weeks and have been fun to watch. Both are throwing the football well during their streaks as well.

Nick Foles has been particularly good, however. He has 16 TD passes in eight games and has no interceptions this season.

Philadelphia wins.

Miami (5-6) at New York Jets (5-6)

Both teams are still in the playoff hunt despite inconsistent performances and subpar offenses.

The difference in this game is that the while the Dolphins are inefficient and get sacked a lot (no one in the league has been sacked more than Ryan Tannehill) the Jets turn the ball over at an alarming rate. Geno Smith has a number of multiple interception games.

Sometimes taking a sack is better than risking the pick-six.

Miami wins.

Atlanta (2-9) at Buffalo (4-7)

The Bills may have a record below .500 but they are 3-3 at home.

The Falcons have lost five in a row and have zero wins on the road. There’s just no reason to think this will be the time they win against a decent Bills team.

Buffalo wins.

St. Louis (5-6) at San Francisco (7-4)

The Rams have won two in a row but are 1-2 in the division, including an early season loss to the 49ers at home.

The 49ers took care of Washington last week with one of their better passing games all season. Adding to 49ers good fortune is the return of Michael Crabtree. He may not be ready to be an every down player, but his presence will open up the passing game. It should be another good day in the air for the 49ers as they go up against the Rams’ 22nd ranked passing defense in yards allowed per game.

San Francisco wins.

Cincinnati (5-6) at San Diego (7-4)

The Chargers are 27th in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game. That should mean good things for Andy Dalton and A.J. Green. The Bengals entered their bye week with a big 21-point victory after two tough overtime losses. It’s a good sign that they won before an extended break to keep morale in good shape.

The Chargers picked up a huge win against the Chiefs on the road last week. That being said it was their first win in four weeks. The Bengals pass defense should nullify the Chargers passing offense.

Cincinnati wins.

Denver (9-2) at Kansas City (9-2)

Both teams gave up leads last week and lost heartbreakers. But the Broncos were up 24-0 at the half. They got 224 yards from Knowshon Moreno. How did they let that one slip?

It was because of mental mistakes, turnovers, penalties and a defense that ranks 30th in the league in passing yards allowed per game and is 26th in points allowed per game.

The Chiefs may have lost to the Broncos two weeks ago and lost at home last week, but they are still 5-1 at home this season with a long history of being strong at home.

The Chiefs do have lots of talent all over the field and despite some injuries, I expect them to come out more prepared for Denver this time around.

Kansas City wins.

New York Giants (4-7) at Washington (3-8)

The Giants had their four game winning streak snapped at the hands of the Cowboys last play of the game. They fought back in the second half, but they put themselves really in too deep of a hole to start.

That being said, the Redskins have really been poor this year. They have lost three in a row, and four of their previous five games. Five of their eight losses this season have been by at least 10 points. Mike Shanahan and Robert Griffin III are both coming under heavy criticism.

This is a good place for the Giants to grab a victory before they hit another tough stretch of games to end the season.

New York Giants win.

New Orleans (9-2) at Seattle (10-1)

This is a match-up of two teams that have legitimate chances of reaching the Super Bowl. While both teams have strong passing defenses, Seattle’s best asset on offense is its running game. The Seahawks secondary should make a bigger impact in this game.

The Seahawks are 5-0 at home this season and also have a strong track record playing in Seattle. They also have the benefit of coming off their bye week, getting to rest up Marshawn Lynch and prepare longer for New Orleans.

Seattle wins.

Last Week: 6-8

Overall: 108-68

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