Thursday, November 14, 2013

NFL Week 11 Picks: Denver Broncos Will Be First To Beat Kansas City Chiefs






Indianapolis (6-3) at Tennessee (4-5)

The Colts were embarrassed by the Rams last week but the Titans didn't fare much better. They allowed the Jaguars to win their first game of the season.

The Titans also lost their starting quarterback, Jake Locker, for the season. The Colts lead the division and they should be able to bounce back against an average Titans team.

Indianapolis wins.

New York Jets (5-4) at Buffalo (3-7)

The Bills only have three wins this season but they are .500 at home (2-2) and .500 against the AFC East (1-1). It's a small sample size but they've been more competitive in these games.

The Jets are consistent this year in the fact that after they win a game, they lose the next one. Winning every other week, the Jets are now in line for a loss. It may seem like only a coincidence but the Jets are also 1-3 on the road this season.

Buffalo wins.

Atlanta (2-7) at Tampa Bay (1-8)

It's hard to like either team this season. Both have struggled to score.

While the Buccaneers finally won a game last week, they also lost their running back, Mike James, to injury. James was in backing up original starter Doug Martin.

The Falcons aren't entirely healthy, but they do have a more experienced squad than the Buccaneers, especially at quarterback. Matt Ryan and the rest of the veterans should be able to pull out a much needed victory.

Atlanta wins.

Detroit (6-3) at Pittsburgh (3-6)

The Lions have won two games in a row and three out of their last four. They are in sole possession of first place in the NFC North. They are third in the league in total passing yards and Calvin Johnson is second in the league in both receiving yards and receiving touchdowns.

The Steelers defense has been much criticized this season. They are in the bottom half of the league in points allowed (18th) and points scored (25th).

Detroit wins.

Washington (3-6) at Philadelphia (5-5)

The Redskins gave up a late lead to the Vikings last week and lost. Their defense is still rather porous.

That's good news for the Eagles, who have been firing on all cylinders with Nick Foles at quarterback. He has 10 touchdown passes in the past two games and 14 in the last four games he has played in.

Philadelphia hasn't fared too well at home this season, but the team looks much improved compared to the beginning of the season and should do well against a bad defensive team.

Philadelphia wins.

San Diego (4-5) at Miami (4-5)

The Dolphins have struggled the past few weeks and last Monday against the Buccaneers they looked quite feeble.

Offensively the play calling is extremely conservative and predictable. The offensive line is awful and can't protect the run or the pass. They also have the most expensive decoy in Mike Wallace, who had four catches for 15 yards last week.

The Chargers aren't overly impressive; the Dolphins just look that bad.

San Diego wins.

Baltimore (4-5) at Chicago (5-4)

The Ravens survived a comeback scare against the Bengals last week, while the Bears lost at home, but despite that the Bears have a good chance of winning this game.

The Ravens are 0-4 on the road this season. The Bears aren't overpowering at home, but they do have a winning record (3-2).

Josh McCown will start this week for the Bears and he has done well this season. It helps when you have the one of the best receiving duos in the NFL in Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffrey.

Chicago wins.

Cleveland (4-5) at Cincinnati (6-4)

The Bengals have been wildly inconsistent this season and are on a two-game losing streak. That being said they are 4-0 at home. They will be looking for revenge from a Week 4 loss against the Browns in Cleveland.

The Browns snapped a three-game losing streak two weeks ago, before their bye week, but are 1-3 on the road this season.

Cincinnati wins.

Oakland (3-6) at Houston (2-7)

Texans running back Arian Foster is out for the season and that is a huge blow to the team.

The Raiders, however, have lost two straight games and are 0-4 on the road this season.

It won't be easy, but at home it is time for Houston to snap their seven game losing streak. As an extra emotional boost, head coach Gary Kubiak is expected to return to the sidelines this weekend.

Houston wins.

Arizona (5-4) at Jacksonville (1-8)

The Jaguars finally got their first win of the season last weekend. The Cardinals, however, are above .500 and on a two-game winning streak.

For the Jaguars, the win against Tennessee was only the second time this year they scored at least 20 points.

For the Cardinals, they will want to see Carson Palmer, who has played decently for the team this season, finally have a game without throwing an interception. Jacksonville is tied for 29th in the league with only four picks.

Arizona wins.

Kansas City (9-0) at Denver (8-1)

The Chiefs are undefeated and lead the AFC West. They've played efficient football all season. They haven't, however, had any convincing victories or gone against the stiffest competition, either.

The Broncos have one of the best offenses in the league, led by Peyton Manning. The 12-time Pro Bowler may be having the best season of his 16-year career.

It will be a competitive game, but the Broncos should have the edge playing at home.

Denver wins.

Minnesota (2-7) at Seattle (9-1)

The Vikings did pick up a win last week, but overall they've found winning difficult this season.

Going to Seattle is a difficult place to try and win back to back games, especially with the Seahawks coming off a big road win last week.

Seattle wins.

San Francisco (6-3) at New Orleans (7-2)

The 49ers had four yards of offense in the fourth quarter against the Panthers last week. They scored a total of only nine games. Against teams currently with winning records, the 49ers are only 2-3.

The Saints continue to win at home week in and week out. They are 5-0 at home this season, winning by an average of just over 20 points per game.

The 49ers rank last in the league in passing yards per game, while the Saints are second in passing yards per game and third in passing yards allowed per game. I don’t know if the 49ers have the firepower to match up with New Orleans on the road.

New Orleans wins.

Green Bay (5-4) at New York Giants (3-6)

The Giants are on a three-game winning streak. It always seems like the Giants turn things around in the second half of the season.

The Packers are now down to their third string quarterback with other injuries to their starting pass catchers. It's just a very depleted team.

New York Giants win.

New England (7-2) at Carolina (6-3)

The Panthers are one of the hottest teams in the league right now with five consecutive victories. They are 3-1 at home this season, winning three straight.

The Patriots have won two straight and for the most part the offense looks like it’s coming together more every game, especially after putting up 55 points against the Steelers two weeks ago. With the bye week to continue to work on chemistry, they could be primed for a good game.

The Panthers defense, however, is quite strong. They are fifth in the league in passing yards allowed per game and second in rushing yards allowed per game. They allowed only nine points last week and in their current winning streak they have not allowed more than 15 points, holding opponents to 11.4 points per game.

At home and riding some serious momentum, the Panthers could have their most important victory of the season yet.

Carolina wins.

Bye Week: Dallas, St. Louis

Last Week: 6-8

Overall: 91-56

Photo Credit.
Peyton Manning: AP Photo/Gregory Bull

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