Thursday, November 28, 2013

NFL Week 13 Picks: Seattle Seahawks To Win Marquee Monday Night Game

Green Bay (5-5-1) at Detroit (6-5)

The Lions haven't won on Thanksgiving in nine years. That's a scary fact for a team that gets a home game on this day. They should own it.

The Packers also bested the Lions earlier this season.

It's time to turn those fortunes around though.

Detroit is 3-2 at home and the Lions defensive line has played very well this season. They should be able to get after Matt Flynn (Green Bay's fourth QB this season) and cause some havoc.

Detroit wins.

Oakland (4-7) at Dallas (6-5)

The Cowboys have been inconsistent this season, but they do have two wins in their past three games, including a big win for momentum at Met Life against the rival Giants last week.

The Raiders have lost three of their last four and are 1-4 on the road this season.

The Cowboys are 21-15-1 on Thanksgiving.

Dallas wins.

Pittsburgh (5-6) at Baltimore (5-6)

The Ravens have won two of their past three, both wins coming at home.

Neither team has been impressive nor consistent are this season and both are coming off wins.

At home, the Ravens should have the edge.

Baltimore wins.

Tennessee (5-6) at Indianapolis (7-4)

The Colts have alternated wins the past four weeks, losing two of their previous three.

They are 3-0 against the rest of the AFC South, however, and defeated the Titans on the road just two weeks ago.

The Colts running game has struggled mightily in recent weeks, which has affected the team's record. Tennessee has one of the worst rushing defenses in the league however and should be a good place for the Colts backfield to get on track.

Indianapolis wins.

Jacksonville (2-9) at Cleveland (4-7)

The Jaguars have enjoyed two wins on the road in the past three weeks. Can they string together consecutive victories?

The Browns are 3-3 at home this season. While the offense has been out of sync lately, the defense has played well this year and the secondary should fare well against Jacksonville's passing game.

Cleveland wins.

Tampa Bay (3-8) at Carolina (8-3)

The Buccaneers are surprising winners of three games in a row but they run into the hottest team in all of football, and on the road no less.

The Panthers are winners of seven games in a row, and they also have a four-game home winning streak. In their seven-game win streak, Carolina already bested Tampa Bay on the road by 18 points. It should be a similar result this time around.

Carolina wins.

Chicago (6-5) at Minnesota (2-8-1)

While Chicago has struggled in the past three weeks as well as on the road this season, the Vikings have struggled this season and still have a home record under .500.

The Bears need a win to stay in the NFC North lead and they should take advantage of a weak Vikings squad.

Chicago wins.

New England (8-3) at Houston (2-9)

The Patriots definitely were the benefactors of some luck when they beat the Broncos last week, yes. But they did have to do some work to put themselves in a position to be able to benefit from it. Down 24-0, they clawed their way back when most counted them out.

The Texans, meanwhile, failed to score a single touchdown at home against the Jaguars of all teams. Houston isn't showing the ability to win games like New England is.

New England wins.

Arizona (7-4) at Philadelphia (6-5)

Both teams are on a role in recent weeks and have been fun to watch. Both are throwing the football well during their streaks as well.

Nick Foles has been particularly good, however. He has 16 TD passes in eight games and has no interceptions this season.

Philadelphia wins.

Miami (5-6) at New York Jets (5-6)

Both teams are still in the playoff hunt despite inconsistent performances and subpar offenses.

The difference in this game is that the while the Dolphins are inefficient and get sacked a lot (no one in the league has been sacked more than Ryan Tannehill) the Jets turn the ball over at an alarming rate. Geno Smith has a number of multiple interception games.

Sometimes taking a sack is better than risking the pick-six.

Miami wins.

Atlanta (2-9) at Buffalo (4-7)

The Bills may have a record below .500 but they are 3-3 at home.

The Falcons have lost five in a row and have zero wins on the road. There’s just no reason to think this will be the time they win against a decent Bills team.

Buffalo wins.

St. Louis (5-6) at San Francisco (7-4)

The Rams have won two in a row but are 1-2 in the division, including an early season loss to the 49ers at home.

The 49ers took care of Washington last week with one of their better passing games all season. Adding to 49ers good fortune is the return of Michael Crabtree. He may not be ready to be an every down player, but his presence will open up the passing game. It should be another good day in the air for the 49ers as they go up against the Rams’ 22nd ranked passing defense in yards allowed per game.

San Francisco wins.

Cincinnati (5-6) at San Diego (7-4)

The Chargers are 27th in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game. That should mean good things for Andy Dalton and A.J. Green. The Bengals entered their bye week with a big 21-point victory after two tough overtime losses. It’s a good sign that they won before an extended break to keep morale in good shape.

The Chargers picked up a huge win against the Chiefs on the road last week. That being said it was their first win in four weeks. The Bengals pass defense should nullify the Chargers passing offense.

Cincinnati wins.

Denver (9-2) at Kansas City (9-2)

Both teams gave up leads last week and lost heartbreakers. But the Broncos were up 24-0 at the half. They got 224 yards from Knowshon Moreno. How did they let that one slip?

It was because of mental mistakes, turnovers, penalties and a defense that ranks 30th in the league in passing yards allowed per game and is 26th in points allowed per game.

The Chiefs may have lost to the Broncos two weeks ago and lost at home last week, but they are still 5-1 at home this season with a long history of being strong at home.

The Chiefs do have lots of talent all over the field and despite some injuries, I expect them to come out more prepared for Denver this time around.

Kansas City wins.

New York Giants (4-7) at Washington (3-8)

The Giants had their four game winning streak snapped at the hands of the Cowboys last play of the game. They fought back in the second half, but they put themselves really in too deep of a hole to start.

That being said, the Redskins have really been poor this year. They have lost three in a row, and four of their previous five games. Five of their eight losses this season have been by at least 10 points. Mike Shanahan and Robert Griffin III are both coming under heavy criticism.

This is a good place for the Giants to grab a victory before they hit another tough stretch of games to end the season.

New York Giants win.

New Orleans (9-2) at Seattle (10-1)

This is a match-up of two teams that have legitimate chances of reaching the Super Bowl. While both teams have strong passing defenses, Seattle’s best asset on offense is its running game. The Seahawks secondary should make a bigger impact in this game.

The Seahawks are 5-0 at home this season and also have a strong track record playing in Seattle. They also have the benefit of coming off their bye week, getting to rest up Marshawn Lynch and prepare longer for New Orleans.

Seattle wins.

Last Week: 6-8

Overall: 108-68

Thursday, November 21, 2013

NFL Week 12 Picks: Arizona Cardinals To Continue Winning Ways Against Indianapolis Colts

New Orleans (8-2) at Atlanta (2-8)

With two wins this season and four consecutive losses by at least 13 points, there's no reason to continue picking the Falcons to win football games. Unless they play Jacksonville, which they don't.

New Orleans wins.

Tampa Bay (2-8) at Detroit (6-4)

The Bucs have won two in a row after losing their first eight games of the season. Those two wins were at home though, and now they'll have to go on the road to face a Lions team that is better than either Miami or Atlanta.

The Lions blew a late lead against the Steelers last week but they have yet to lost two games in a row this season and are 3-1 at home.

This could be a fun game to watch as both offenses should be able to pass the ball fairly well, but at home and with more weapons the Lions should take care of business.

Detroit wins.

Minnesota (2-8) at Green Bay (5-5)

The Packers have lost three straight and in two games in relief this year, quarterback Scott Tolzien has thrown five interceptions, compared to just one touchdown.

Tolzein's accurate though (when hitting his own receivers) , completing 65.8 percent of his passes. That would be good enough for sixth in the league.

The Vikings defense is 29th in the league in passing yards allowed per game. They are tied for 20th in the league in interceptions, tied for 24th in sacks, and have given up the most touchdown passes.

Expect a healthy dose of Eddie Lacey for the Packers, but Tolzein should also fare better against the Vikings.

Green Bay wins.

Jacksonville (1-9) at Houston (2-8)

The Texans haven't won since Week 2, but they continue to fight. In the last four games they have only lost by a single score and an average of 3.0 points per game.

The Jaguars went back to losing last week and should continue to do so on the road in Week 12.

Houston wins.

San Diego (4-6) at Kansas City (9-1)

The Chiefs may have been knocked out of the unbeaten ranks, but this should be a good bounce back week for them.

At home, they are 5-0 this season. Against teams under .500, they are 7-0.

The Chargers are under .500 after losing to the struggling Dolphins last week. They are also 2-4 on the road.

Kansas City wins.

Carolina (7-3) at Miami (5-5)

Even though the Dolphins are 3-2 at home, the Panthers may be too much to handle.

Carolina has won six games in a row, three of which were on the road. Miami's play calling on offense has been rather conservative and the Panthers defense, which is fifth in passing yards allowed per game and third in rushing yards per game, should smother them.

Carolina wins.

Pittsburgh (4-6) at Cleveland (4-6)

The Steelers started off slow but are picking up steam as the season goes on. They have won two consecutive games and four out of their past six.

Meanwhile, the Browns have lost four out of their past five games.

Cleveland is 3-2 at home this season, but momentum seems to be in Pittsburgh's favor. The turnover battle should come into play in this game. Last week the Steelers caused three turnovers against the Lions, while Cleveland turned the ball over four times, including three interceptions.

Pittsburgh wins.

Chicago (6-4) at St. Louis (4-6)

Josh McCown has fared well for the Bears this year. He's got 754 yards passing in four games, to go with five touchdowns and zero interceptions. The team is also 2-0 when he starts, and he'll be starting this weekend.

The Rams got a big win two weeks ago against the Colts and are coming off a bye week, but they are actually under .500 (2-3) at home.

Chicago wins.

New York Jets (5-5) at Baltimore (4-6)

The Jets have alternated wins and losses, but they have been dismal on the road this year (1-4).

The Jets are a game ahead of the Ravens in the standings, but Baltimore is 3-1 at home this year.

Geno Smith is second in the league in interceptions (16), while Joe Flacco is fifth (13). In away games, Smith has thrown 10 picks, while Flacco has only thrown two picks at home.

Baltimore wins.

Tennessee (4-6) at Oakland (4-6)

The Titans are awfully weak at defending the run. They are 20th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game and are tied for allowing the most rushing touchdowns (15) in the league.

The Raiders are fourth in the league in rushing yards per game and last week Rashad Jennings had 150 yards rushing and a touchdown. He's rushed for at least 100 yards and a touchdown in two of his past three games.

Oakland wins.

Indianapolis (7-3) at Arizona (6-4)

Since beating Denver and coming out of the bye, the Colts have not looked very sharp. They are 2-1 since beating the Broncos, but they needed comebacks to beat Houston and Tennessee by three points each and were demoralized by the Rams at home.

The Cardinals have won three straight and are 4-1 at home. Carson Palmer threw for 419 yards and two touchdowns in last week's win and it was the first game this season he hasn't thrown a pick.

The Colts are 21st in total yards allowed, while the Cardinals are eighth.

Arizona wins.

Dallas (5-5) at New York Giants (4-6)

The Cowboys looked like the strongest team in the NFC East a few weeks ago, but they've lost two of their past three games. Both losses came on the road and they are 1-4 on the road this season.

The Giants are hot, winning four in a row, three of which were at home. The Giants will have their work cut out for them later in the season with three road games in their final five, but right now they have all the momentum and home field advantage.

New York Giants win.

Denver (9-1) at New England (7-3)

The Broncos just knocked off the only undefeated team remaining in the league. They're first in passing yards for and first in points per game. I can see wide receiver Wes Welker having a big game against his former team.

The Patriots are and have been banged up defensively. They are 20th in the league in yards allowed per game.

The Pats are undefeated at home, but do they have the horses to keep up with the Broncos?

Denver wins.

San Francisco (6-4) at Washington (3-7)

For all the talk about the final (non)call in the New England-Carolina game last week, 49ers fans had plenty to gripe about as well with roughing the passer calls.

What's done is done, however, and the 49ers have now lost two consecutive games coming out of the bye week. Those were against teams with winning records. They won't have that same problem against the Redskins.

Washington has lost two in a row and there seems to be a slight rift in the team, mainly between quarterback RG3 and head coach Mike Shanahan.

The 49ers passing offense has struggled mightily this season, but facing the Redskins defense, ranked 26th in passing yards allowed per game, should help.

San Francisco wins.

Bye week: Buffalo, Cincinnati, Philadelphia, Seattle

Last week: 11-4

Overall: 102-60

Photo Credit.
Larry Fitzgerald and Carson Palmer: AP Photo/Matt York

Thursday, November 14, 2013

NFL Week 11 Picks: Denver Broncos Will Be First To Beat Kansas City Chiefs

Indianapolis (6-3) at Tennessee (4-5)

The Colts were embarrassed by the Rams last week but the Titans didn't fare much better. They allowed the Jaguars to win their first game of the season.

The Titans also lost their starting quarterback, Jake Locker, for the season. The Colts lead the division and they should be able to bounce back against an average Titans team.

Indianapolis wins.

New York Jets (5-4) at Buffalo (3-7)

The Bills only have three wins this season but they are .500 at home (2-2) and .500 against the AFC East (1-1). It's a small sample size but they've been more competitive in these games.

The Jets are consistent this year in the fact that after they win a game, they lose the next one. Winning every other week, the Jets are now in line for a loss. It may seem like only a coincidence but the Jets are also 1-3 on the road this season.

Buffalo wins.

Atlanta (2-7) at Tampa Bay (1-8)

It's hard to like either team this season. Both have struggled to score.

While the Buccaneers finally won a game last week, they also lost their running back, Mike James, to injury. James was in backing up original starter Doug Martin.

The Falcons aren't entirely healthy, but they do have a more experienced squad than the Buccaneers, especially at quarterback. Matt Ryan and the rest of the veterans should be able to pull out a much needed victory.

Atlanta wins.

Detroit (6-3) at Pittsburgh (3-6)

The Lions have won two games in a row and three out of their last four. They are in sole possession of first place in the NFC North. They are third in the league in total passing yards and Calvin Johnson is second in the league in both receiving yards and receiving touchdowns.

The Steelers defense has been much criticized this season. They are in the bottom half of the league in points allowed (18th) and points scored (25th).

Detroit wins.

Washington (3-6) at Philadelphia (5-5)

The Redskins gave up a late lead to the Vikings last week and lost. Their defense is still rather porous.

That's good news for the Eagles, who have been firing on all cylinders with Nick Foles at quarterback. He has 10 touchdown passes in the past two games and 14 in the last four games he has played in.

Philadelphia hasn't fared too well at home this season, but the team looks much improved compared to the beginning of the season and should do well against a bad defensive team.

Philadelphia wins.

San Diego (4-5) at Miami (4-5)

The Dolphins have struggled the past few weeks and last Monday against the Buccaneers they looked quite feeble.

Offensively the play calling is extremely conservative and predictable. The offensive line is awful and can't protect the run or the pass. They also have the most expensive decoy in Mike Wallace, who had four catches for 15 yards last week.

The Chargers aren't overly impressive; the Dolphins just look that bad.

San Diego wins.

Baltimore (4-5) at Chicago (5-4)

The Ravens survived a comeback scare against the Bengals last week, while the Bears lost at home, but despite that the Bears have a good chance of winning this game.

The Ravens are 0-4 on the road this season. The Bears aren't overpowering at home, but they do have a winning record (3-2).

Josh McCown will start this week for the Bears and he has done well this season. It helps when you have the one of the best receiving duos in the NFL in Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffrey.

Chicago wins.

Cleveland (4-5) at Cincinnati (6-4)

The Bengals have been wildly inconsistent this season and are on a two-game losing streak. That being said they are 4-0 at home. They will be looking for revenge from a Week 4 loss against the Browns in Cleveland.

The Browns snapped a three-game losing streak two weeks ago, before their bye week, but are 1-3 on the road this season.

Cincinnati wins.

Oakland (3-6) at Houston (2-7)

Texans running back Arian Foster is out for the season and that is a huge blow to the team.

The Raiders, however, have lost two straight games and are 0-4 on the road this season.

It won't be easy, but at home it is time for Houston to snap their seven game losing streak. As an extra emotional boost, head coach Gary Kubiak is expected to return to the sidelines this weekend.

Houston wins.

Arizona (5-4) at Jacksonville (1-8)

The Jaguars finally got their first win of the season last weekend. The Cardinals, however, are above .500 and on a two-game winning streak.

For the Jaguars, the win against Tennessee was only the second time this year they scored at least 20 points.

For the Cardinals, they will want to see Carson Palmer, who has played decently for the team this season, finally have a game without throwing an interception. Jacksonville is tied for 29th in the league with only four picks.

Arizona wins.

Kansas City (9-0) at Denver (8-1)

The Chiefs are undefeated and lead the AFC West. They've played efficient football all season. They haven't, however, had any convincing victories or gone against the stiffest competition, either.

The Broncos have one of the best offenses in the league, led by Peyton Manning. The 12-time Pro Bowler may be having the best season of his 16-year career.

It will be a competitive game, but the Broncos should have the edge playing at home.

Denver wins.

Minnesota (2-7) at Seattle (9-1)

The Vikings did pick up a win last week, but overall they've found winning difficult this season.

Going to Seattle is a difficult place to try and win back to back games, especially with the Seahawks coming off a big road win last week.

Seattle wins.

San Francisco (6-3) at New Orleans (7-2)

The 49ers had four yards of offense in the fourth quarter against the Panthers last week. They scored a total of only nine games. Against teams currently with winning records, the 49ers are only 2-3.

The Saints continue to win at home week in and week out. They are 5-0 at home this season, winning by an average of just over 20 points per game.

The 49ers rank last in the league in passing yards per game, while the Saints are second in passing yards per game and third in passing yards allowed per game. I don’t know if the 49ers have the firepower to match up with New Orleans on the road.

New Orleans wins.

Green Bay (5-4) at New York Giants (3-6)

The Giants are on a three-game winning streak. It always seems like the Giants turn things around in the second half of the season.

The Packers are now down to their third string quarterback with other injuries to their starting pass catchers. It's just a very depleted team.

New York Giants win.

New England (7-2) at Carolina (6-3)

The Panthers are one of the hottest teams in the league right now with five consecutive victories. They are 3-1 at home this season, winning three straight.

The Patriots have won two straight and for the most part the offense looks like it’s coming together more every game, especially after putting up 55 points against the Steelers two weeks ago. With the bye week to continue to work on chemistry, they could be primed for a good game.

The Panthers defense, however, is quite strong. They are fifth in the league in passing yards allowed per game and second in rushing yards allowed per game. They allowed only nine points last week and in their current winning streak they have not allowed more than 15 points, holding opponents to 11.4 points per game.

At home and riding some serious momentum, the Panthers could have their most important victory of the season yet.

Carolina wins.

Bye Week: Dallas, St. Louis

Last Week: 6-8

Overall: 91-56

Photo Credit.
Peyton Manning: AP Photo/Gregory Bull

Thursday, November 7, 2013

NFL Week 10 Picks: San Francisco 49ers To Top Carolina Panthers in Game of the Week

Washington (3-5) at Minnesota (1-7)

The Vikings are reeling this season and playing at home, where they are 1-3, hasn’t been much help.

The Vikings could be without seven of their opening day starters when they take on Washington in a shortened week. They could be without two starting offensive linemen, meaning a shakeup in the group. Starting tight end Kyle Rudolph has been ruled out, leaving quarterback Christian Ponder without his safety blanket.

With so many injuries to an already poor defense, the team will also have problems containing Robert Griffin III and a team that has won two of its past three games.

Washington wins.

Philadelphia (4-5) at Green Bay (5-3)

Nick Foles threw seven touchdown passes against the Raiders. He had more touchdowns than incomplete passes (six). He’s played well when given the opportunity and it looks like he will stick as the starter.

The Packers are decimated by injury. Aaron Rodgers is the team’s best player and leader and without him at quarterback this will be a tough task to overcome.

Philadelphia wins.

Jacksonville (0-8) at Tennessee (4-4)

Chris Johnson started the season with some promise, rushing for over 90 yards in the second and third games of the season. It’s been a long line of low-production games since, though. From weeks four through seven he never rushed for more than 39 yards and had a total of two touchdowns.

It looks like a week off was just what Johnson needed. Against the Rams last week Johnson ran for 150 yards and two touchdowns on the way to victory.

Jacksonville is winless. They have showed zero offensive firepower. They just lost Justin Blackmon again.
Look for Johnson to have another strong day running as the Titans take the lead and look to run out the clock.

Tennessee wins.

Buffalo (3-6) at Pittsburgh (2-6)

The Steelers are in the midst of a very rough season, and their defense as of late is not the same group that has been one of the best in the league in recent years. Dick Lebeau didn’t forget how to coach, however, and guys like Troy Polamalu, Brett Keisel, LeMarr Woodley, and Ryan Clarke didn’t just become terrible players. They still have something left in the tank and they’ve showed it this season, like when they beat the Jets 19-6 earlier this season.

In fact, Pittsburgh is 16-2 against rookie quarterbacks since 2004. The Bills are expected to start rookie E.J. Manuel after missing a few games due to injury. If he can’t go it will be undrafted rookie Jeff Tuel. The Steelers defense is experienced and should be able to get either quarterback to make some key mistakes.

Pittsburgh wins.

Oakland (3-5) at New York Giants (2-6)

The Raiders got embarrassed last weekend while the Giants, coming off a bye week, have won two games in a row.

Since Tom Coughlin took over the Giants tend to fare better in the second half of the year than they do the first half. The running game is starting to get healthier, while Peyton Hillis has done a solid job of holding down the fort.

Also, traditionally west coast teams do not fare well coming to the east coast for 1 p.m. ET games.

New York Giants win.

St. Louis (3-6) at Indianapolis (6-2)

The Rams have lost three in a row and despite the emergence of running back Zac Stacey, still have trouble moving the football and scoring.

The Colts are on a two-game winning streak, are 3-1 at home, and have beaten top teams in the Broncos, Seahawks and 49ers.

Indianapolis wins.

Seattle (8-1) at Atlanta (2-6)

It may seem crazy to go against a team with only one loss and on a four game winning streak, but there’s just a gut feeling about the Falcons in this game.

First of all, Seattle isn’t at home where they are indeed stronger than on the road. Their only loss on the season is on the road. But Seattle hasn’t been dominant lately. Yes, wins are most important and getting ugly wins where you didn’t play your best is the sign of a good team. I’m not arguing that Seattle isn’t a good team, because they are. I’m saying they are vulnerable.

In three of their past four games, the Seahawks beat the Titans (at home), Rams, and winless-Buccaneers (at home) by seven points or less. They were down 21-0 and needed overtime to beat the Buccaneers at home last weekend. Again, they showed great fight and resiliency and won, but they are vulnerable.

The Falcons just seem due. Despite Matt Ryan’s 10 interceptions this season, in Atlanta’s four home games (where the team is 2-2), he has thrown nine touchdowns and only one interception.

The team is slowly getting healthier. Steven Jackson played in his second consecutive game last week and went from 11 carries for six yards in Week 8 to 13 carries for 57 yards in Week 9.

Roddy White is still a wait and see, but if they can get him on the field it will add to the Falcons offense, even if he isn’t 100 percent.

Atlanta wins.

Cincinnati (6-3) at Baltimore (3-5)

Neither team is very consistent this season, but at least one has more wins than it does losses.

The Bengals were sloppy last week, but their defense wasn’t terrible. Cincinnati is actually 11th in the league in passing yards allowed per game and 10th in rushing yards allowed per game. The Bengals also haven’t lost twice in a row this season.

Meanwhile, the defending champions have lost three games in a row. Joe Flacco only has 10 touchdowns compared to nine interceptions this season. Ray Rice has fewer than 100 attempts rushing in seven games this season, has only 259 yards, 2.7 yards per carry and only three touchdowns. This year has been about underachieving, to say the least.

Cincinnati wins.

Detroit (5-3) at Chicago (5-3)

The Bears are 3-1 at home this season and look like they are in good shape at the quarterback position. Jay Cutler has been cleared to play, but Josh McCown has been impressive in two games in relief, throwing for 476 yards, three touchdowns, and zero interceptions.

The Lions are 26th in the league in passing yards allowed per game. They have also been very inconsistent lately, not winning consecutive games since Weeks 3 and 4. This could be a tough one on the road.

Chicago wins.

Carolina (5-3) at San Francisco (6-2)

After a 1-3 start, the Panthers have turned their season around, winning their past four games. They run into a team who has been down a similar path in the 49ers. Starting 1-2, San Francisco has won five straight games.

Both teams have been scoring a lot of points lately and both run the ball very well. In an evenly matched game, one that could be game of the week, it feels right to favor the home team and defending NFC champions.

San Francisco wins.

Houston (2-6) at Arizona (4-4)

The Cardinals went into their bye week with some momentum, beating the Atlanta Falcons by two touchdowns two weeks ago.

They are 3-1 at home this season. Going back to 2010, the Cardinals have a .500 or better record at home including a 6-2 record in 2011.

The Texans couldn’t hold up against the Colts last week and are not at 100 percent. Arian Foster left last week’s game injured and head coach Gary Kubiak collapsed on the field.

Houston could galvanize around their coach’s health scare, but this is just a team that’s maybe been through too much lately.

Arizona wins.

Denver (7-1) at San Diego (4-4)

The Broncos may be without their head coach, but having Peyton Manning on the field is like having a second coach out there with you.

Coming off the bye week, the team gets some much needed rest as they were getting a bit banged up, Manning included. The Chargers lost in overtime to the Redskins last weekend in overtime and they really have been one of the most, if not the most, impressive teams in the league this season.
It’s tough to go against them in their current form.

Denver wins.

Dallas (5-4) at New Orleans (6-2)

Both of the Saints only losses came on the road this season. This team is very good playing at home.
The Cowboys are 31st in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game. While Tony Romo has played well, Drew Brees and Jimmy Graham are one of the best combos in the league.

New Orleans wins.

Miami (4-4) at Tampa Bay (0-8)

This game will have a huge spotlight on it, but for all the wrong reasons.

The Richie Incognito-Jonathan Martin bullying situation has spiraled into a media disaster.  Don’t forget that the Buccaneers locker room has been a disaster all season as well, going back to the situation with Josh Freeman. Both Florida teams have showed more than questionable judgment.

Referring to the leaked voicemail, Incognito is wrong for what he said. And if Martin felt unsafe and uncomfortable at work and it is Incognito’s fault, then you shouldn’t make someone feel that way.

The Dolphins locker room seems to be standing together and supporting Incognito, however. As backwards as it seems, the thing that I see is that maybe this won’t be as big a distraction carrying over to the field as people expect.

They have a good chance of victory against a winless Buccaneers team.

Miami wins.

Bye Week: Cleveland, Kansas City, New England, New York Jets

Last Week: 7-6

Overall: 85-48

Photo Credit.
Colin Kaepernick: AP Photo/Matt Dunham