Thursday, December 12, 2013

NFL Week 15 Picks: Detroit Lions To Best Baltimore Ravens on Monday Night

San Diego (6-7) at Denver (11-2)

The Broncos keep churning, as they put up 51 points last week.

The Chargers got a victory against the Giants, but the Broncos are better than the Giants and they're even harder to beat at home.

Denver wins.

Washington (3-10) at Atlanta (3-10)

Kirk Cousins may be the shot in the arm the Redskins need, but this is a team that lost by 35 points at home last week.

The Falcons couldn't edge out Green Bay last week but at home they have a good shot against the Redskins.

Atlanta wins.

Arizona (8-5) at Tennessee (5-8)

After losing to the Eagles, the Cardinals picked themselves up with a 30 point victory over the Rams. Is it possible the NFC West gets three playoff teams? The Cardinals are in the hunt.

The Titans had a tough task against the Broncos last week. The team hasn't showed much promise since Jake Locker was injured for the season, though. There's even rumors of cutting Chris Johnson after this season.

Arizona wins.

San Francisco (9-4) at Tampa Bay (4-9)

The 49ers squeaked out a big victory over the Seahawks last week. Frank Gore had a monster day rushing the ball and although the team only had 155 yards passing, Anquan Boldin still managed to reel in 93 yards receiving.

The Buccaneers won again last week, but the 49ers are a playoff team and if they want to prove they are a legitimate championship contender, this is a game they have to win.

San Francisco wins.

New Orleans (10-3) at St. Louis (5-8)

Since winning two consecutive games to close out November, the Rams have lost two in a row. They are also only 3-3 at home this season.

The Saints just had a strong showing against the Panthers, beating them by 18 and ending their eight game winning streak.

The Saints are the stronger team and will show it.

New Orleans wins.

Seattle (11-2) at New York Giants (5-8)

The Seahawks lost for the first time in two months, but they should be able to get back on track against the Giants.

The Giants were eliminated from playoff contention last week after losing to the Chargers.

While the Seahawks are second in the league in takewaways, the Giants lead the league in turnovers and Eli Manning is first in the NFC in interceptions thrown.

Seattle wins.

Chicago (7-6) at Cleveland (4-9)

The Bears put up an impressive 45 points last week against the Cowboys. The Dallas defense isn't that good, but Chicago did what it needed to to take advantage of it. Alshon Jeffrey has been very impressive lately.

The Browns fought hard against the Patriots, but in the end it was another loss.

Expect the Bears to continue to ride the momentum from last week.

Chicago wins.

Houston (2-11) at Indianapolis (8-5)

Last week, after the Texans' loss to the Jaguars I tweeted, "Why do I keep picking the #Texans to win games? #NFL".

If something is broken, it's time to change. The Texans front office fired the head coach and I'm picking against them, which is easy to do when they play the division leading Colts on the road.

Indianapolis wins.

Buffalo (4-9) at Jacksonville (4-9)

The Jaguars have won four of their past five games, an amazing feat considering how futile they looked at the beginning of the season.

They now have the same record as the Bills, who have lost five of their past six games, including three losses in a row on the road.

When I finally pick the Jaguars, conventional wisdom says that will be the week they lose, but the Bills are just playing that poorly lately.

Jacksonville wins.

New England (10-3) at Miami (7-6)

Bill Belichick recently said about the Dolphins that despite the bullying media firestorm earlier this season, the Dolphins are still taking care of business.

While the Dolphins have won games and are very much in the playoff race, they haven't been very convincing doing so. The team isn't consistent and still makes enough mistakes that good teams should be able to capitalize on. They also don't fare as well against teams with winning records.

New England wins.

Philadelphia (8-5) at Minnesota (3-9-1)

The Vikings gave a spirited effort against the Ravens last week, but fell short. There's also the question of how effective Adrian Peterson will be after suffering an ankle injury, if he even plays at all.

The Eagles are rolling and the Vikings don't seem to be good enough this year to stop them.

Philadelphia wins.

Kansas City (10-3) at Oakland (4-9)

The Raiders may be better at home than on the road, but they still lost to the Jets last week. They even allowed the Jets, a team that is 31st in the league in points scored, to put up 37 points last week.

The Chiefs scored 45 points of their own on the road last week and should have another successful outing this week.

Kansas City wins.

New York Jets (6-7) at Carolina (9-4)

The Panthers had their winning streak stopped last week and they went down with a whimper.

Conversely the Jets ended their losing streak, scored their largest point total to date and won by double digits.

Still, I expect things to go back to normal for these teams this week. The Panthers get homefield advantage and the Jets seem to give the ball away like candy on the road.

Carolina wins.

Green Bay (6-6-1) at Dallas (7-6)

It looks like Aaron Rodgers isn't likely to play for the Packers this weekend, which is good news for the porous Cowboys secondary.

The Cowboys were embarrassed in prime time last week. What works in their favor this week is that they are home. The Cowboys are 5-1 at home, with the only loss coming in the high scoring thriller against Denver, who was undefeated at the time.

The Packers are 2-4 on the road this year and are 1-4-1 since the beginning of November.

Dallas wins.

Cincinnati (9-4) at Pittsburgh (5-8)

The Bengals are only 3-4 on the road and 2-2 against the division. That could be worrisome, but the Steelers are also 2-2 against the division and only 3-3 at home. It's not a losing record, but it's not dominant either.

The Bengals are the division leaders, beat the Steelers earlier in the season, and are coming off a huge win against the Colts.

The Steelers on the other hand have lost two in a row, including last week when they blew a late lead at home against the Dolphins.

Cincinnati wins.

Baltimore (7-6) at Detroit (7-6)

The Ravens are fighting for a wild card spot but they are 1-5 on the road this season. That should bode well for the struggling Lions.

Detroit is 1-3 in its past four games, but the Lions are 4-2 at home this year. Stafford has thrown one more touchdown at home than on the road (in one fewer game) and has 345.2 yards passing per game at home compared to 236.4 passing yards per game on the road.

If he can keep his turnovers down, the Lions could be in a good position to win this game.

Detroit wins.

Last Week: 11-5

Overall: 131-77

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